As some of you may know I like economics and i like military strategy. Thanks to the latest winds of war and the news out of Dubhtraig i will attempt to combine these two in order to determine the economic impact of the raid. This is mostly for fun and everything is a guesstimate (“this is the best I could do with the available information” will be a bit of a running theme here)
This will be divided into two sections. The bill and how i arrived at the cost. I will endeavor to base the costs off of things i found off the wiki (and will go more into depth as to how i got these numbers in the second section), but if your trying to buy wains or art or slaves at Anvil THIS IS ONLY AN ESTIMATE! ACTUAL VALUE OF GOODS MUST BE DETERMINED IN THE FIELD!
So, without further statements of intentions, disclaimers and ass coverage I present:
Miscellaneous loot: 1501.5 Thrones
Bourse resources: 160 Thrones
Slaves*: 750 to 1000 Thrones
Loss of Bourse resource production: 200 Thrones
Shipyard Great Work: 237.5 Thrones
Loss of great work income: 22.5 Thrones
Total known cost: 2871.5 to 3121.5 thrones
Collateral damage ( the burning of the city including “garishly decorated palaces”, “the great walled palace of Salt Lord Suriad”, “the shambolic shanty town that sprawls beneath the towers of the Salt Lord”, ect.)
Damage to the two forts in the territory (“the soldiers and ships associated with the two fortifications have both seen significant losses that will need replacing before those castles can operate at full strength - placing a further drain on the coffers of the Salt Lords.”)
Slaves: 4 crowns. This one is a bit wobbly and deep cut, but there is a rough estimate as to the value of slaves on the wiki. In volume 4 of echoes of the labyrinth, in the past life of Elka Gremani, someone was fined 8 crowns for releasing 2 slaves from slavers (4 crowns each for loss of property). Here is where it gets wobbly. we have no way of knowing if Imperial slaves were worth more than Grendal slaves (though the Imperal slaves did seem to have no special skill sets and thus were the same quality as average, if in better condition since they were new) or how much the virtue defense in the trial mitigated some of the cost, but again this is the best i could do with the given information.
*Edit: As mention in a comment below, the cost of slaves is almost certainly inflated to not only cover the value of the slaves but also punitive damages for commiting a crime. That said, "this is the best I could do with the available information”
Bourse materials: 4 Thrones per wain. This price was achieved by dividing the cost of the bourse seat from the auction by the number of wains the seat produces in a year. Half a throne was then added to each wain to account a profit margin.
For example The Brilliant Star was sold off for 333 thrones and produces 96 wains in year.
333/96= 3.47 +0.5= 3.97.
Misc loot: 312 rings each for 770 Fleets and MUs. This was achieved by taking the total effective force in the raid (77000) and dividing it by 100 to get a rough guesstimate of the number of fleets and MUs that took part in the raid. This doesn’t take into account the effects of enchantments, upgrades and mana site units, but without a definitive list this is the best i can do. after the (inaccurate) number of units is calculated (770) this was then multiplied by the normal pay for paid work/ privateering (180 rings assuming Fleet=Business= MU) plus the added gains from the opportunity (180+132=312 rings).
So, (770*312)/160=1501.5 Thrones
Shipyard: This the cost of a standard shipyard great work using the prices for bourse resources above. I know that the WoW stated that it wasn’t totally destroyed, but it also states that it wasn’t an average sized shipyard. So the assumption here is that the raid would have destroyed a minimum sized shipyard, but instead heavily damaged a large one with a proportional impact.